Episode 17: Do Something

In this post-nominating conventions episode, I reflect on lessons learned as we approach the last 60 days before the election. Some key themes include:

• How not to be a crosstab truther
• Why elections aren't really that much like markets
• How forecasts predict the past
• Why campaigns don't need one single message to win the whole thing
• And what you should do with your energy and effort if you're not using forecasts to earn a living.

There are 69 days to the 2024 election.

Recommended Reading:
"Mad Poll Disease Redux: Harris-Walz Edition" Weekend Reading by Mike Podhorzer: https://www.weekendreading.net/p/mad-poll-disease-redux-harriswalz